While I don't have the stats to back the latter part up, the expected goal (xG) from a penalty kick is .76 - 76% of penalties end up being scored. Keepers quite

While I don't have the stats to back the latter part up, the expected goal (xG) from a penalty kick is .76 - 76% of penalties end up being scored. Keepers quite often will guess right, and at that point both the placement and power have to be perfect. If they are, it's a goal practically every time, but most players will compromise on either placement or power. This may be different in recreational contexts, as professional keepers dive frighteningly quickly, and are very good at reading the body language of the PK taker.