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I wonder how much super spreaders affect outbreaks. Let’s say LA had 50 super spreaders vs. 25 in SF. I’d expect LA to have more than 2x the cases because of t
by awb 5y ago
I wonder how much super spreaders affect outbreaks.
Let’s say LA had 50 super spreaders vs. 25 in SF. I’d expect LA to have more than 2x the cases because of the exponential spread of the virus.
And I think the idea behind masks was not that they’re a cure, but a 2nd best option if the best option of social distancing isn’t possible.
And even if they’re 30% effective, the idea is to get R (the number of subsequent people an infected person goes on to infect) to go down. Because a 30% reduction in transmission has a huge effect over time, even if it’s not perfect.
- froh 5y agosuper spreaders and super spreader events are key to transmission, like indoor singing hallelujah or indoor family gatherings happy birthday granny or schooling, Kindergarden, you get the gist... indoor and speaking/singing is the key combination for aerosol based transmission.
- cr1895 5y agoZeynep Tufecki described this phenomenon in the Atlantic, going into its overdispersed nature of spreading and how most infections don’t result in a spread to others, but some circumstances become super-spreading events with an outsize impact: https://www.theatlantic.com/health/archive/2020/09/k-overlooked-variable-driving-pandemic/616548/ https://www.theatlantic.com/health/archive/2020/09/k-overloo...