> So I generally give like zero weight to conspiracy theories. Why? Assigning a prior probability of zero to anything is a recipe for disaster, it means you ca

> So I generally give like zero weight to conspiracy theories. Why? Assigning a prior probability of zero to anything is a recipe for disaster, it means you can never change your belief. Looks like you had enough of an open mind to hear some of the arguments in favor of this one, and it increased your posterior probability somewhat, so I guess “like zero” is your way of saying “close to zero but not zero”. Have you tried giving other conspiracy theories a chance? I think you’ll find mixed results.