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I agree that you could place the condition on reproduction number - you really intend that the virus becomes extinct. But your 'less than 100% infected/vaccina
by teachingassist 5y ago
I agree that you could place the condition on reproduction number - you really intend that the virus becomes extinct.
But your 'less than 100% infected/vaccinated' is an assumption, not a guarantee. There's an ongoing possibility of immune escape.
- giantg2 5y ago"...you really intend that the virus becomes extinct." Which might not be possible due to many factors, including non-human hosts.
- teachingassist 5y ago> including non-human hosts. I'm inclined to think that infection by a non-human host would be a different virus with different circumstances (SARS-CoV-1 is considered different from SARS-CoV-2). Unless, you mean that our reaction to the pandemic globally has allowed a bunch of new non-human reservoirs to form.
- giantg2 5y agoRemember when they kill all those minks in Europe last year? They also say that some pets can get covid as well. So it's possible that non-human hosts could prevent eradication. Although it is possible that we get to the point of stuff like plague or hantavirus today - rodents are hosts but only a few people are infected each year and it fails to spread. But who knows.