3 ms·
Still not sure where 0.5% IFR is derived from; the best data I've seen puts it at 0.25% - 0.4%.
by natural219 5y ago
Still not sure where 0.5% IFR is derived from; the best data I've seen puts it at 0.25% - 0.4%.
- raphlinus 5y agohttps://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.05.03.20089854v4 https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.05.03.20089854v... estimates it at 0.68% (0.53-0.82%). Boiling it down to one number is tricky though, as it is hugely correlated with age, so looking at any particular demographic is likely to give you pretty different numbers.
- natural219 5y agoJust take the aggregate of papers published on those four sites? That's certainly a rather crude methodology :p.
- MagnumOpus 5y agoIn Peru, we already had 0.5% of the population die in excess of normal. Even if most people in Peru have been infected, that puts IFR above 0.5%. (The US has a bigger proportion of elderly and obese, but better ICU care, so that might skew numbes up or down.)