3 ms·
It's not solved until the global number of people with COVID is low enough that COVID doesn't significantly mutate in the time that it takes to vaccinate the en
by femto 5y ago
It's not solved until the global number of people with COVID is low enough that COVID doesn't significantly mutate in the time that it takes to vaccinate the entire world with a compatible vaccine.
Currently more people have COVID than at any point in the past [1]. This means COVID is evolving faster, as it has more chances to mutate. The danger of a new vaccine evading strain emerging is increasing along with the number of global infections. There's a risk that the rate of mutation accelerates to the point where we can't get updated vaccines into people fast enough.
It's sobering that only 4% of the world has been fully vaccinated in 4 months [2] and the job will get more difficult once all the easy to access people are done.
[1] Assuming cases in a 2 week period is a rough proxy for number of currently infected people.
https://ourworldindata.org/explorers/coronavirus-data-explorer?zoomToSelection=true&time=2020-03-01..latest&pickerSort=desc&pickerMetric=new_cases_smoothed_per_million&Metric=Confirmed+cases&Interval=Biweekly&Relative+to+Population=false&Align+outbreaks=false&country=~OWID_WRL https://ourworldindata.org/explorers/coronavirus-data-explor...
[2] https://ourworldindata.org/explorers/coronavirus-data-explorer?zoomToSelection=true&pickerSort=desc&pickerMetric=population&Metric=People+fully+vaccinated&Interval=Cumulative&Relative+to+Population=true&Align+outbreaks=false&country=~OWID_WRL https://ourworldindata.org/explorers/coronavirus-data-explor...