6 ms·
Whenever I see announcements like this, I try and cap my enthusiasm -- I think reading about solid-state-drives in the 90s and not getting them until... well th
by rkalla 15y ago
Whenever I see announcements like this, I try and cap my enthusiasm -- I think reading about solid-state-drives in the 90s and not getting them until... well the last 2 years, I have learned to be cautious with falling in love.
THAT being said, this article suggests mass-production on a timeline of 5-years (give or take) along side other innovations like Intel's 50Gbps Thunderbolt.next() [1]
I'm really gunning for the world not ending Dec 2012 now; I want to see this stuff in a desktop PC ;)
Aside: It is fun to think about what changes to current industries would occur when computing power becomes insignificant -- for example, video editing/production, video games, voice recognition, security, etc.
Just in our industry, with the cost of a GB dropping to damn near $0.00, the first thing we saw was an explosion of apps dealing with huge data sets -- something previously only done by a few select mega-corps.
Anyone, just speculation and fun at this point.
[1] http://www.engadget.com/2011/04/29/intel-touts-50gbps-interconnect-by-2015-will-make-it-work-with/ http://www.engadget.com/2011/04/29/intel-touts-50gbps-interc...
- miahi 15y agoActually, commodity hardware that you can buy today for less than $1000 would have made it to the top tiers of HPC Top500 just 11 or 12 years ago. But most of this was done in a step by step evolution of old technologies, not in a revolutionary way, because most of the revolutionary technologies that make the news are not really feasible for mass production (at least at the time of the discovery - remember the costs of the solid-state drives back in the '90s).
- jodrellblank 15y agoWhat sort of apps dealing with huge datasets?
- olalonde 15y agoHere's a nice intro to "Big Data": http://www.forbes.com/2010/11/02/startup-facebook-twitter-technology-data.html http://www.forbes.com/2010/11/02/startup-facebook-twitter-te...
- rlpb 15y agoThere isn't a business case for getting new technologies in mass production so quickly. Businesses price to maximise profits, which isn't necessarily anything to do with production cost. It's more profitable to sell at a high price to early adopters first, and then gradually bring the price down.
- lucasjung 15y agoIf a technology is truly revolutionary, then there is most certainly a business case for putting it into mass production quickly. If you can disrupt an old industry or technology and replace it en masse with your new product, you will achieve market dominance in the new market. On the other hand, if you phase your product in slowly from the high end, your competitors will have time to copy you and grow their market share apace with yours.
- keenerd 15y ago> I think reading about solid-state-drives in the 90s and not getting them until... well the last 2 years Lower your expectations, or look in different places. I've had SSDs for at least six years. My first ones were USB flash drives (often kickstarted from floppy, many mobos did not boot usb), industrial flash modules (little stubby thing that plugs right into the IDE socket) and CF-IDE adapters. Even six years ago the industrial drives were relatively easy to get - they just were just not something you could find at consumer tech shops.
- ableal 15y ago> reading about solid-state-drives in the 90s Or before: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bubble_memory http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bubble_memory The infant mortality on apparently neat technology is horrific.
- mbreese 15y agoFrom the wikipedia article on this class of memory (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Phase-change_memory http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Phase-change_memory), it seems like this technology has been around since the 1950s-1960s. That's the perspective that you should view the IBM announcement though. It seems like the IBM technology might be the final step towards mass adoption.