4 ms·

Or has the CPI been fudging the numbers for a very long time? https://www.forbes.com/sites/perianneboring/2014/02/03/if-you-want-to-know-the-real-rate-of-infla

Or has the CPI been fudging the numbers for a very long time? https://www.forbes.com/sites/perianneboring/2014/02/03/if-you-want-to-know-the-real-rate-of-inflation-dont-bother- https://www.forbes.com/sites/perianneboring/2014/02/03/if-yo... with-the-cpi/ And this article is 7 years old, I can't imagine Perianne's reaction to the current M2 money supply of 20 trillion, almost double the 10 trillion when she wrote it in 2014. https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/M2SL https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/M2SL Seems like yet another example of Goodhart's Law. "When a measure becomes a target, it ceases to be a good measure." I own many homes, I see their value go up much more than 2.6%. Yes anecdotal but it is very obvious to anyone that has tried to buy anything recently.

prichino 5y ago
Oh lookie, someone has been calculating the numbers using the old methodology. We are much poorer than we thought. http://www.shadowstats.com/alternate_data/inflation-charts http://www.shadowstats.com/alternate_data/inflation-charts
- throw0101a 5y ago
  > Oh lookie, someone has been calculating the numbers using the old methodology. They have been doing no such thing. They have not put any effort into "calculating" anything. They simply take the official BLS and add a constant. They say so themselves: > Responding to prior criticisms made by economist James Hamilton, John Williams explained in a private phone call that Shadowstats does not actually recalculate BLS data, rather, the Shadowstats CPI merely adds a constant to the officially reported numbers.[25] * https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Shadowstats.com https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Shadowstats.com The number at that site will always be higher than the BLS number because the people who run that site think it should be higher. They publish no methodology to recreate their number. Whereas if you want to look at what BLS is doing you can download code: * https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/MIT_Billion_Prices_project https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/MIT_Billion_Prices_project Also, the official Shadowstats.com report costs $175 today (2021-05-11). However: > Shadowstats doesn’t come cheap: currently, an annual subscription costs $175. > Six years ago, an annual subscription cost … $175. * https://krugman.blogs.nytimes.com/2012/08/25/another-alternative-inflation-measure/ https://krugman.blogs.nytimes.com/2012/08/25/another-alterna... $175. Huh. Where's that inflation?
throw0101a 5y ago
> https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/M2SL https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/M2SL And velocity (V) has dropped off a cliff: * https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/M2V https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/M2V * https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Money_supply#Link_with_inflation https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Money_supply#Link_with_inflati...

prichino 5y ago

Oh lookie, someone has been calculating the numbers using the old methodology. We are much poorer than we thought. http://www.shadowstats.com/alternate_data/inflation-charts http://www.shadowstats.com/alternate_data/inflation-charts

throw0101a 5y ago
> Oh lookie, someone has been calculating the numbers using the old methodology. They have been doing no such thing. They have not put any effort into "calculating" anything. They simply take the official BLS and add a constant. They say so themselves: > Responding to prior criticisms made by economist James Hamilton, John Williams explained in a private phone call that Shadowstats does not actually recalculate BLS data, rather, the Shadowstats CPI merely adds a constant to the officially reported numbers.[25] * https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Shadowstats.com https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Shadowstats.com The number at that site will always be higher than the BLS number because the people who run that site think it should be higher. They publish no methodology to recreate their number. Whereas if you want to look at what BLS is doing you can download code: * https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/MIT_Billion_Prices_project https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/MIT_Billion_Prices_project Also, the official Shadowstats.com report costs $175 today (2021-05-11). However: > Shadowstats doesn’t come cheap: currently, an annual subscription costs $175. > Six years ago, an annual subscription cost … $175. * https://krugman.blogs.nytimes.com/2012/08/25/another-alternative-inflation-measure/ https://krugman.blogs.nytimes.com/2012/08/25/another-alterna... $175. Huh. Where's that inflation?

throw0101a 5y ago

> https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/M2SL https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/M2SL And velocity (V) has dropped off a cliff: * https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/M2V https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/M2V * https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Money_supply#Link_with_inflation https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Money_supply#Link_with_inflati...