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Your last paragraph is exactly why I bring up the salary cap. Your original thesis is “Football isn’t like American sports” and your “measure” is that is that t

Your last paragraph is exactly why I bring up the salary cap. Your original thesis is “Football isn’t like American sports” and your “measure” is that is that there is no “equilibrium strategy”. Which you say without explaining what that means. It is after all a two player (two teams) zero sum game. You heavily imply that analytics are not applicable to football due to the properties of the sport itself. For all the reasons you outline in your last paragraph, many teams have ulterior goals other than actually maximizing win probability which is why analytics isn’t an emphasis. An analytics department would cost these farm teams additional money for example.

hogFeast 5y ago
I am not saying that analytics cannot be applied. I have been making money applying analytics to football for years. But analytics is not some machine that you just cram data into and out come the best players. That may work with baseball it doesn't work with football because the nature of the game is totally different (another example is with NBA, NBA's scoring frequency and pitch size totally changes the dynamics...it is another invasion game, but one that has totally different properties to football). No equilibrium strategy has been explained twice. If you don't know, I can't help you. They aren't "farm teams". That only makes sense in the context of American sports (once again). Analytics is an emphasis at many of these clubs, it is how they win games (again, I am not sure if you understand that I am not talking about American sports...win probability is important because if you don't win games, you get relegated, and your club can stop existing in a few years...you need to win games).
- vladTheInhaler 5y ago
  You've claimed that there's no equilibrium several times, but as far as I can tell, you haven't explained it even once. Do you have a citation? Or do you have some model in which football fails to satisfy the criteria?

hogFeast 5y ago

I am not saying that analytics cannot be applied. I have been making money applying analytics to football for years. But analytics is not some machine that you just cram data into and out come the best players. That may work with baseball it doesn't work with football because the nature of the game is totally different (another example is with NBA, NBA's scoring frequency and pitch size totally changes the dynamics...it is another invasion game, but one that has totally different properties to football). No equilibrium strategy has been explained twice. If you don't know, I can't help you. They aren't "farm teams". That only makes sense in the context of American sports (once again). Analytics is an emphasis at many of these clubs, it is how they win games (again, I am not sure if you understand that I am not talking about American sports...win probability is important because if you don't win games, you get relegated, and your club can stop existing in a few years...you need to win games).

vladTheInhaler 5y ago
You've claimed that there's no equilibrium several times, but as far as I can tell, you haven't explained it even once. Do you have a citation? Or do you have some model in which football fails to satisfy the criteria?