> We're talking about expected values though No, what people are talking about is the actual game show. They are doing a statistical analysis of how the actu

> We're talking about expected values though No, what people are talking about is the actual game show. They are doing a statistical analysis of how the actual game show works, in real life. So nobody is talking about a different, hypothetical situation, where the universe is reset, or the game show host brings out a new contestant every time. Instead people are talking about how the actual show works. And your scenarios that you bring up, are not relevant, and therefore wrong. > so it's a useful thought experiment. No, it is a different thought experience that applies to a different situation.