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We’re getting very very close to the point where a group of amateurs can make a ‘major motion picture.’ Not quite yet... but it’s getting closer. CGI can create
by lurquer 5y ago
We’re getting very very close to the point where a group of amateurs can make a ‘major motion picture.’ Not quite yet... but it’s getting closer. CGI can create sets and even characters; AI tools to assist with rotoscope and backfill are becoming quite incredible.
These tools are still packaged in relatively inaccessible environments (such as Blender and AfterEffects and others.)
But, that’s changing too.
In short, it’s going to become increasingly tempting to a creative type to ditch the book he’s writing and, instead, make a movie.
Sounds silly.
But, what occurred in the musical realm (where rank amateurs can simulate an entire orchestra on their PC if need be) is going to happen with Movies.
Books — as a vehicle for drama — may not be coming back.
- bambax 5y agoI think you are right with the analysis and prediction but wrong with the conclusion. What will happen when anyone can make a movie on their home computer that looks just as good as a Hollywood production is not that current book writers will make them. It is that the market will be flooded by visually fine, but structurally inept movies that no one will want to watch.
- lurquer 5y agoYeah. Ironically, what you’ve described has also happen to books to some degree. The self-published ‘Createspace’ or ‘KindleDirect’ books are usually cringeworthy. It’s the old curator problem... if it becomes trivial to create something in a medium, it’s more important then ever to have a gatekeeper or curator to help identify the good stuff.