Who can? Seriously. Either: trust you are smart enough, and we almost always are, and commit to hard work , or abandon it and move on something lower risk,

Who can? Seriously. Either: trust you are smart enough, and we almost always are, and commit to hard work , or abandon it and move on something lower risk, lower cost, but with a respectable or worthy reward , or seek help. Rough place to be in, frankly. I do not envy you. :( And what of the rewards? You might try valuing them this way: Actual value = (predicted value * risk) - (cost * time)