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He never chooses randomly in the Monte Hall problem. He’s always going to reveal a goat. That’s why the maths are so straightforward - and yet so counterintuiti
by atdrummond 5y ago
He never chooses randomly in the Monte Hall problem. He’s always going to reveal a goat. That’s why the maths are so straightforward - and yet so counterintuitive.
- listenallyall 5y ago> He never chooses randomly in the Monte Hall problem. But you never state that, which is why I took exception with your explanation. You also state that probabilities never change, which is also untrue as more information is revealed.
- atdrummond 5y agoNo. All I said is that the probability of the first door winning doesn't change. Which is true - it remains 1/3. The change in probabilities impact the other two doors, whose terminal values I listed (0 and 2/3).