3 ms·

You could also consider a case where they send in a new contestant every time the Random Monty Hall picks a car, and the result is the same.

• stale2002 5y ago
  > You could also consider a case where they send in a new contestant every time the Random Monty Hall picks a car In the actual show, do you believe they are sending in a new contestant every time Monty hall picks are car? Do you think that is what is happening in the actual game show?
  • TchoBeer 5y ago
    No, obviously not. We're talking about expected values though, so it's a useful thought experiment.
    • stale2002 5y ago
      > We're talking about expected values though No, what people are talking about is the actual game show. They are doing a statistical analysis of how the actual game show works, in real life. So nobody is talking about a different, hypothetical situation, where the universe is reset, or the game show host brings out a new contestant every time. Instead people are talking about how the actual show works. And your scenarios that you bring up, are not relevant, and therefore wrong. > so it's a useful thought experiment. No, it is a different thought experience that applies to a different situation.