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> imagine every time the hosts picks the car the universe resets Do you believe that we live in a universe that is reseting, every time Mr Monty hall opens a
by stale2002 6y ago
> imagine every time the hosts picks the car the universe resets
Do you believe that we live in a universe that is reseting, every time Mr Monty hall opens a car?
As in literally Mr Monty Hall. From the game show. In real life.
Because the purpose of the question is to mimic the show.
- TchoBeer 6y agoYou could also consider a case where they send in a new contestant every time the Random Monty Hall picks a car, and the result is the same.
- stale2002 6y ago> You could also consider a case where they send in a new contestant every time the Random Monty Hall picks a car In the actual show, do you believe they are sending in a new contestant every time Monty hall picks are car? Do you think that is what is happening in the actual game show?
- TchoBeer 5y agoNo, obviously not. We're talking about expected values though, so it's a useful thought experiment.
- stale2002 5y ago> We're talking about expected values though No, what people are talking about is the actual game show. They are doing a statistical analysis of how the actual game show works, in real life. So nobody is talking about a different, hypothetical situation, where the universe is reset, or the game show host brings out a new contestant every time. Instead people are talking about how the actual show works. And your scenarios that you bring up, are not relevant, and therefore wrong. > so it's a useful thought experiment. No, it is a different thought experience that applies to a different situation.