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If the host opens the door with car, and asks you if you'd prefer to switch to the unopened door, then you have a 100% chance of being wrong, as the door with t
by salamanderman 5y ago
If the host opens the door with car, and asks you if you'd prefer to switch to the unopened door, then you have a 100% chance of being wrong, as the door with the car isn't one of the choices. But, sure, my second point still stands, that it's effectively asking if you want your door or the sum of the other two doors.
But, to be clear, the question states that Monty opens the door with the goat. If you were to write a monte Carlo to test this empirically, you'd have to have your "Monty" choose the door with the goat.
- shkkmo 5y agoYou appear to have completely edited the comment I was replying to. My "not at all" does not apply to your comment as it currently reads, which is correct. On HN it is considered polite to append corrections rather than replace content that has become part of the discussion.