Well that's a question of if you think the lockdowns were necessary or not. If you think they were, then of course excess mortality is due to covid. If you thin

Well that's a question of if you think the lockdowns were necessary or not. If you think they were, then of course excess mortality is due to covid. If you think they weren't then that excess mortality was due to unneeded human intervention. Of course the answer is somewhere in between, that is, some degree of lockdowns and therefore the deaths attendant to that were overzealous, and that throws this entire model in the trash.