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Could less accurate forecasting be attributed to exceptional circumstances of the environment they have tried to analyze? I have the feeling there's quite a fe
by Jiocus 5y ago
Could less accurate forecasting be attributed to exceptional circumstances of the environment they have tried to analyze?
I have the feeling there's quite a few “predictions” during this pandemic that are off. Where people or the economy have acted contrary to popular beliefs or rational modelling.
- syops 5y agoI have no expertise in this area. I imagine that there is an increased amount of guessing due to uncertainty about our present circumstances.