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Apple tried to use the same philosophy: everyone has an Apple ID, so there's no migration issue. Look how that turned out. But I understand what point you're t

by ltamake 15y ago

Apple tried to use the same philosophy: everyone has an Apple ID, so there's no migration issue. Look how that turned out. But I understand what point you're trying to make. This will get used, but I don't see it becoming a true Facebook rival because of the network effect Facebook relies on. If users were to migrate in masses, on the other hand, Facebook would be dead within a short amount of time. Sadly, that's not going to happen anytime soon.

MatthewPhillips 15y ago
Switching social networks is not the same as switching email services. You don't just up and move. Millions switched from MySpace to Facebook but what they really did was join Facebook while still using MySpace. And then using MySpace less. And then not at all. So, in theory, people could "join" Google+ because they see it in the toolbar while they're searching, and if there are a few killer features that bring them back (Hangouts? Sparks?) they might use Facebook less. And eventually maybe enough of their friends are on Google+ that they stop using Facebook. Or maybe not. But they definitely don't need to make a walk-the-plank decision today.
- ltamake 15y ago
  MySpace wasn't prepared for Facebook, and ignored it until about 2009 when it was too late. People saw their friends on Facebook, so they stopped using MySpace (hence the network effect I mentioned earlier). Facebook /will/ fight for its social dominance, but (generally speaking) there is a site out there that they don't know about and won't be prepared for (aka "the next Facebook")
  - true_religion 15y ago
    One can fight and lose all the same. Friendster fought against MySpace et al, and still lost ground because of its poor architecture. Facebook being 4th generation social networking won't fail because of poor architecture, nor because of poor UI. It may fail due to privacy concerns though since its leadership seems fanatical about reducing restrictions to information, rather than allowing its users to segment themselves.
  - calebmpeterson 15y ago
    > but there is a site out there that they don’t know about and won't be prepared for. Care to illucidate us?
    - pavel_lishin 15y ago
      I think he means that there is always a competitor on the horizon.

by ltamake 15y ago

MatthewPhillips 15y ago

Switching social networks is not the same as switching email services. You don't just up and move. Millions switched from MySpace to Facebook but what they really did was join Facebook while still using MySpace. And then using MySpace less. And then not at all. So, in theory, people could "join" Google+ because they see it in the toolbar while they're searching, and if there are a few killer features that bring them back (Hangouts? Sparks?) they might use Facebook less. And eventually maybe enough of their friends are on Google+ that they stop using Facebook. Or maybe not. But they definitely don't need to make a walk-the-plank decision today.

ltamake 15y ago
MySpace wasn't prepared for Facebook, and ignored it until about 2009 when it was too late. People saw their friends on Facebook, so they stopped using MySpace (hence the network effect I mentioned earlier). Facebook /will/ fight for its social dominance, but (generally speaking) there is a site out there that they don't know about and won't be prepared for (aka "the next Facebook")
- true_religion 15y ago
  One can fight and lose all the same. Friendster fought against MySpace et al, and still lost ground because of its poor architecture. Facebook being 4th generation social networking won't fail because of poor architecture, nor because of poor UI. It may fail due to privacy concerns though since its leadership seems fanatical about reducing restrictions to information, rather than allowing its users to segment themselves.
- calebmpeterson 15y ago
  > but there is a site out there that they don’t know about and won't be prepared for. Care to illucidate us?
  - pavel_lishin 15y ago
    I think he means that there is always a competitor on the horizon.