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> I believe it was "for each launch, the chance of killing an innocent bystander must be less than 1 in 10,000". The earliest thing I can find that seems rele
by KineticLensman 6y ago
> I believe it was "for each launch, the chance of killing an innocent bystander must be less than 1 in 10,000".
The earliest thing I can find that seems relevant is the Convention on the international liability for damage caused by space objects [0] which was published by the US and USSR in 1972. This doesn't list risk in terms of probabilities of deaths but instead makes it clear that signatories are "absolutely liable to pay compensation for damage caused". It is in turn based on the Outer Space Treaty of 1967.
Interestingly, gov.uk has detailed current guidance for entities applying for licenses to launch from the UK [1]. This states that "all licences issued must state a limit to the operator’s liability to indemnify UK Government for claims".
[0] https://treaties.un.org/doc/Publication/UNTS/Volume%20961/volume-961-I-13810-English.pdf https://treaties.un.org/doc/Publication/UNTS/Volume%20961/vo...
[1] https://www.gov.uk/guidance/apply-for-a-license-under-the-outer-space-act-1986#space-liability-and-insurance-requirements https://www.gov.uk/guidance/apply-for-a-license-under-the-ou...
- moreira 6y agoOff-topic but man, the gov.uk website doesn't cease to amaze. There's a freaking page with everything laid out, explaining everything you need to know about launching a satellite. Background history, relevant law, documents needed, everything you need to know. It's all there, in a clear, concise, easy-to-follow format. It's brilliant.
- Rebelgecko 6y agoNASA ODAR reports utilize the 1 in 10,000 language, although those are for debris in general, not launches and the probability is for any injuries, not just death.
- lupire 6y agoHow many "1 death per 10K launches" launches are there per year?
- Rebelgecko 6y agoProbably 0 from the US. You can search for ODARs on FCC.gov if you want a more definitive answer.