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The predictions from thought leaders are a little puzzling, but I think predictions from CEOs are easier to explain: Engineer: This could easily take 10 years.

The predictions from thought leaders are a little puzzling, but I think predictions from CEOs are easier to explain: Engineer: This could easily take 10 years. Engineering Manager: This will take up to 10 years. VP of Engineering: This will take 5-10 years. CEO: We will have new <AI Thingy> within 5 years! A game of telephone but with optimism.

scotty79 6y ago
That's the thing that people don't get about estimations. Estimation (as given by the engineer) is the time, by which, you can be almost sure, you won't have this thing done.
- neaanopri 6y ago
  "No Earlier Than"
  - loopz 6y ago
    Times Pi. Why? It works! Ok, Phi it is then!
nitwit005 6y ago
> The predictions from thought leaders are a little puzzling It doesn't seem possible to become a "thought leader" by correctly predicting what trends will not pan out. People like the ones predicting a bold new future in a short time span.
deleted 6y ago
[deleted]
biswaroop 6y ago
It's exactly the same with quantum computation right now.