4 ms·
Obvious in hindsight? Myself, if I'd been asked to guess the distribution of death penalties an hour ago before I'd read this article, would have cited all kin
by willvarfar 5y ago
Obvious in hindsight?
Myself, if I'd been asked to guess the distribution of death penalties an hour ago before I'd read this article, would have cited all kinds of things as plausible factors and gone in completely the wrong direction.
We're a bunch of programmers, we like to talk here about our biased mental models of things. Give us data, let us fine tune our models and make them more realistic for those future discussions.
Real data, even when it confirms something 'obvious', is still good, right?
- throwaway8581 5y agoNo, obvious in foresight too. If you asked me which places are likely to give the most death penalties this year, I'd just give you the list from last year. I know that something being dressed up as SCIENCE makes us want to think it's profound. But most of the time, research findings are steaming piles of worthless crap that people pretend are insightful because their careers depend on it.