3 ms·
> How many years would make you feel comfortable? Five? 10? 50? How long do you plan on living? To give a vaccine to say, an 8 year old child, with no health
by krona 5y ago
> How many years would make you feel comfortable? Five? 10? 50?
How long do you plan on living?
To give a vaccine to say, an 8 year old child, with no health concerns and excellent natural immunity to a disease (better than say, for seasonal flu), then it stands to reason that you would need so much data to show that the absolute risk reduction was greater than 0 (and not below 0), that the question is barely even worth considering; why not just wait until the child reaches a suitable age, at which point we'd already have the data?
- arcticbull 5y agoI wasn't actually talking about children, however, while they themselves are not at elevated risk from COVID, children are little filth monsters who spread disease to everyone around them. The risk is they pass it on, and we are talking about aggregate population risk. Nothing is risk-free, and demanding 80 years of data to know a vaccine has absolutely no long-term results when vaccine risk profiles are pretty well understood is not a reasonable ask.
- grillvogel 5y agothere are between 0 and 1 years of data right now. most vaccines take many years for approval, 80 is a bit of a stretch
- arcticbull 5y agoI was responding to the statement "how long do you plan on living?" made with respect to children. However, there's far more than 1 year of data on mRNA and adenovirus vector vaccines. The thing is lay people really have no basis for saying "there's not enough data" and "it's too fast" -- the scientists who study this are the ones with the background to make that assessment. All we really have are gut feelings and anecdota.