Who knows, 10 years is a long time and most of my predictions are 50/50 even a year out :). Still, I feel relatively confident based on past history (I'm a car

Who knows, 10 years is a long time and most of my predictions are 50/50 even a year out :). Still, I feel relatively confident based on past history (I'm a car nut, and have been for the last few decades), the incumbent manufacturers are very capable and have a valuable pool of experience to draw from. What I truly expect to happen is that some manufacturers will try to emulate Tesla and fail. Some will remember that they know how to make cars, and that people want cars not computers on wheels, and they'll make good cars that just happen to use electric motors instead of internal combustion engines. These latter manufacturers will be very successful. The whole touchscreen-on-wheels fad is just that, a fad. On average, people's taste in cars is evolutionary, not revolutionary.