3 ms·

That it wasn't predictable or obvious flu cases would go to near zero. These news stories are not about how if we do X then flu cases will go to near zero, and

That it wasn't predictable or obvious flu cases would go to near zero. These news stories are not about how if we do X then flu cases will go to near zero, and most operate under the assumption flu season is coming and will likely be a "twindemic" that needs to be mitigated/lessened. It didn't come and now we are pretending it was clear it was never coming. Just tired of people using selective memories to pretend that the last year wasn't chaotic and full of many wrong predictions, from experts and novices alike. Some humility would be appreciated.

robertlagrant 6y ago
You're lumping the poster in with all the experts and novices. They're one person, saying one thing. You need a link to _them_ saying the opposite to substantiate your criticism of their statement.
jjav 6y ago
> That it wasn't predictable or obvious flu cases would go to near zero. How could it not be predictable? I get the cold/flu when I or someone in the family is exposed to someone sick and it gets passed on. If we're all staying in the house and not going anywhere for a year, by what mechanism could we possibly get sick? Seemed predictable to me. In any case, it's been so awesome to not be sick in over a year. With elementary school kid, it used to be I was sick every few weeks all year long. Not looking forward to going back to that kind of normal.
- fullshark 6y ago
  And yet I really don't remember any discussion at all about how flu season was going to be nonexistent this winter in the media. No discussion about how if we socially distance flu deaths would drop almost 97% (22000 -> 600). I guess no one decided to write a news story about it cause it was so predictable, dog bites man and all.
  - awwaiid 6y ago
    I recall articles about it last September. https://www.cdc.gov/mmwr/volumes/69/wr/mm6937a6.htm https://www.cdc.gov/mmwr/volumes/69/wr/mm6937a6.htm
deleted 6y ago
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robertlagrant 6y ago

You're lumping the poster in with all the experts and novices. They're one person, saying one thing. You need a link to _them_ saying the opposite to substantiate your criticism of their statement.

jjav 6y ago

> That it wasn't predictable or obvious flu cases would go to near zero. How could it not be predictable? I get the cold/flu when I or someone in the family is exposed to someone sick and it gets passed on. If we're all staying in the house and not going anywhere for a year, by what mechanism could we possibly get sick? Seemed predictable to me. In any case, it's been so awesome to not be sick in over a year. With elementary school kid, it used to be I was sick every few weeks all year long. Not looking forward to going back to that kind of normal.

fullshark 6y ago
And yet I really don't remember any discussion at all about how flu season was going to be nonexistent this winter in the media. No discussion about how if we socially distance flu deaths would drop almost 97% (22000 -> 600). I guess no one decided to write a news story about it cause it was so predictable, dog bites man and all.
- awwaiid 6y ago
  I recall articles about it last September. https://www.cdc.gov/mmwr/volumes/69/wr/mm6937a6.htm https://www.cdc.gov/mmwr/volumes/69/wr/mm6937a6.htm

deleted 6y ago

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