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People that bought new Apple products early in Apple's rise had similar experiences. As new product categories were introduced from the 1998 iMac onward, more t
by maxharris 5y ago
People that bought new Apple products early in Apple's rise had similar experiences. As new product categories were introduced from the 1998 iMac onward, more technical users complained about nits in "rev A" products, tending to wait for the second revision ("rev B") to buy.
For example, here's a post from 2006 asking "Wait for rev B?" about the then-new Intel-based iMacs: https://discussions.apple.com/thread/482029?page=2 https://discussions.apple.com/thread/482029?page=2
You are right that some existing automakers will succeed. Still, I believe that in a decade's time the consensus view about this will be that Tesla won.
- rootusrootus 5y agoWho knows, 10 years is a long time and most of my predictions are 50/50 even a year out :). Still, I feel relatively confident based on past history (I'm a car nut, and have been for the last few decades), the incumbent manufacturers are very capable and have a valuable pool of experience to draw from. What I truly expect to happen is that some manufacturers will try to emulate Tesla and fail. Some will remember that they know how to make cars, and that people want cars not computers on wheels, and they'll make good cars that just happen to use electric motors instead of internal combustion engines. These latter manufacturers will be very successful. The whole touchscreen-on-wheels fad is just that, a fad. On average, people's taste in cars is evolutionary, not revolutionary.