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China does have a ton of sealift capability and for practical purposes can deny us access to the strait. On the flip side, their ships would be highly vulnerabl
by captainredbeard 5y ago
China does have a ton of sealift capability and for practical purposes can deny us access to the strait. On the flip side, their ships would be highly vulnerable to anti-ship missiles from ground-based, air-based, sea-based, sub-based, and potentially even space based systems.
Once there, Taiwan is fortified and ready to fight with a large army. China will be unable to establish air superiority due to Taiwanese 4th gen fighters plus air support from American and Japanese assets, along with the ANZACs if they have any gumption left in them.
- bigbillheck 5y ago> On the flip side, their ships would be highly vulnerable to anti-ship missiles The PRC's been pushing hard on anti-ship missile capabilities and I don't know if I'd say they're any worse off than we are.
- captainredbeard 5y agoThat is correct. I'm talking about Taiwan defending itself. US air would come from Okinawa, Guam, and aircraft carriers parked outside China's hypersonic missile defense range (which, BTW, can travel that far only if they have a firing solution, which at such distances will be difficult to establish).
- redis_mlc 5y agoThe key is 18,000 ships. We don't have enough missiles to destroy a screen that large. (This is not a well-known strategy, since it's the first time in history a country had this "capability.")