4 ms·
Big problem with this type of calculation: it is based on the prior n-years of data. These figures do not consider that the just this year, the leading edge of
by CodeWriter23 5y ago
Big problem with this type of calculation: it is based on the prior n-years of data. These figures do not consider that the just this year, the leading edge of Baby Boomers are achieving their average life expectancy and dying. There needs to be some corrective math that takes the birth rate at (current year - average life expectancy) into account.
- Thiez 5y agoI doubt a rising wave of baby boomer deaths is going to have a significant change on those statistics, but if your objection is correct, the death rate should continue to rise, so in a couple of years we can look back and see if you were right. Or look at mortality by age.
- jnwatson 5y agoWe don't have a system where you hit 75 years old and drop dead. Everybody got a year older, and ~21% of those were baby boomers. The statistical impact of that on a year-by-year basis is minimal.
- CodeWriter23 5y agoOn average, that’s exactly the system we have. Nice attempt at sounding authoritative while attempting to invert a fundamental reality, that more births obviously results in more deaths.