Occam's razor hardly ever applies to stuff like this (news in the intelligence space) because deception is the whole game. A tendency to believe simpler explana

Occam's razor hardly ever applies to stuff like this (news in the intelligence space) because deception is the whole game. A tendency to believe simpler explanations is something they exploit. I think Occam's razor is often misapplied in this way. It's for explaining natural phenomena, not for surmising the intent of an intelligent entity with an incentive to deceive.