3 ms·

Did you take occam’s razor into account? Why is this likely?

• dilyevsky 5y ago
  The timing is very sus given recent and ongoing spy mania in eastern europe (if you’ve been following)
  • ddalex 5y ago
    The thing in EastEurope is not intelligence-based, its' political.
    • dilyevsky 5y ago
      There’s a difference?
      • ddalex 5y ago
        The difference is that there is no new informational knowledge coming out from the East Europe affair. It's just matching expulsion numbers, but none of the parties (or the general public) learned anything new (as with this disclosure).
• smolder 5y ago
  Occam's razor hardly ever applies to stuff like this (news in the intelligence space) because deception is the whole game. A tendency to believe simpler explanations is something they exploit. I think Occam's razor is often misapplied in this way. It's for explaining natural phenomena, not for surmising the intent of an intelligent entity with an incentive to deceive.
  • salawat 5y ago
    People putting their eyes out with Hanlon and Occam's razor always makes me sad.