3 ms·
> Meaning every year our production capacity increases by .5 (or 5 times every decade). Change is geometric (i.e. fixed percentage), not linear (i.e. fixed num
by kilotaras 5y ago
> Meaning every year our production capacity increases by .5 (or 5 times every decade).
Change is geometric (i.e. fixed percentage), not linear (i.e. fixed number).
This gives 18.92% yearly increase (instead of .5), but 5.6568x increase in decade (instead of 5x).
By 2060 this gives 169 TWh (instead of 103), and 200 in 2061.
We would also expect energy growth to level of at US/EU level once it reaches them, there's no reason to expect Asia to sustain it's energy growth indefinitely.
Don't get me wrong: solar is still not enough, storage is big elephant in the room, and we should build nuclear yesterday. It's just not as bleak as your comment made it out to be.