3 ms·

Horribly sad. Given the case rate, I would expect the daily death rates to be a bit higher. A few months ago the US had a few days > 4K: https://www.worldomete

Horribly sad. Given the case rate, I would expect the daily death rates to be a bit higher. A few months ago the US had a few days > 4K: https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/india/ https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/india/

masklinn 6y ago
We know that deaths lag, on the linear graph active cases are skyrocketing but deaths are just starting to ramp back up. And reports are coming in of lack supply scarcity. > A few months ago the US had a few days > 4K: Note that this was with 9 million active cases (official). According to official numbers, india is at 2.5, yet already reaching 2200 daily deaths. And if you look at the correlation between daily deaths and active cases, the daily death maximums occur around the inflexion point in case growth (either peaking for the 1st and 3rd surges, or plateauing of the 2nd). The same occurred in India with their first wave (active cases peaked mid-september, so did deaths). Right now it's shooting straight up, they've already smashed through the US' maximum daily new cases, and the US reached theirs as the DNC's increase was slowing down.
- AndrewBissell 6y ago
  > And reports are coming in of lack supply scarcity. We are now well over a year into this pandemic. The original justification for the lockdowns in the US was "15 days to slow the spread," i.e. that we would self quarantine to buy time to add ICU capacity, secure PPE and supplies for hospitals, etc. Instead ICU capacity was kept flat and economy-wide hospital staff were reduced and we were told "nope, keep doing this until we have a vaccine." Is there a single country in the world that has actually beefed up ICU capacity and secured basic supplies like oxygen for itself?
jetru 6y ago
A lot of deaths could be going un-reported. There could be multiple factors here: * India doesn't count everyone who died with COVID as having died of COVID. * There is something fishy going on with the number of cremations with "COVID protocol" compared to the number of reported COVID deaths on a day in multiple states * Just not enough infrastructure to handle this kind of situation
superfrank 6y ago
They talk about this in the article. > Confirmed deaths from the coronavirus also broke an Indian record Thursday, with 2,104 fatalities recorded in the previous 24 hours. But deaths too may be drastically undercounted, because many of the people dying outside hospitals never got tested.
coldcode 6y ago
Measures of death in India have always been hard even before the pandemic, most are not recorded. I highly doubt that the current death count in India is anywhere as low as the official number. In 1918 Spanish flu time, 5% of India died from what I read.

masklinn 6y ago

We know that deaths lag, on the linear graph active cases are skyrocketing but deaths are just starting to ramp back up. And reports are coming in of lack supply scarcity. > A few months ago the US had a few days > 4K: Note that this was with 9 million active cases (official). According to official numbers, india is at 2.5, yet already reaching 2200 daily deaths. And if you look at the correlation between daily deaths and active cases, the daily death maximums occur around the inflexion point in case growth (either peaking for the 1st and 3rd surges, or plateauing of the 2nd). The same occurred in India with their first wave (active cases peaked mid-september, so did deaths). Right now it's shooting straight up, they've already smashed through the US' maximum daily new cases, and the US reached theirs as the DNC's increase was slowing down.

AndrewBissell 6y ago
> And reports are coming in of lack supply scarcity. We are now well over a year into this pandemic. The original justification for the lockdowns in the US was "15 days to slow the spread," i.e. that we would self quarantine to buy time to add ICU capacity, secure PPE and supplies for hospitals, etc. Instead ICU capacity was kept flat and economy-wide hospital staff were reduced and we were told "nope, keep doing this until we have a vaccine." Is there a single country in the world that has actually beefed up ICU capacity and secured basic supplies like oxygen for itself?

jetru 6y ago

A lot of deaths could be going un-reported. There could be multiple factors here: * India doesn't count everyone who died with COVID as having died of COVID. * There is something fishy going on with the number of cremations with "COVID protocol" compared to the number of reported COVID deaths on a day in multiple states * Just not enough infrastructure to handle this kind of situation

superfrank 6y ago

They talk about this in the article. > Confirmed deaths from the coronavirus also broke an Indian record Thursday, with 2,104 fatalities recorded in the previous 24 hours. But deaths too may be drastically undercounted, because many of the people dying outside hospitals never got tested.

coldcode 6y ago

Measures of death in India have always been hard even before the pandemic, most are not recorded. I highly doubt that the current death count in India is anywhere as low as the official number. In 1918 Spanish flu time, 5% of India died from what I read.