3 ms·

This runs very much counter to my intuitions. I would have expected suicide rates to correlate very strongly with depression rates, which have increased sharply

This runs very much counter to my intuitions. I would have expected suicide rates to correlate very strongly with depression rates, which have increased sharply. I would think also that a world which reinforces depression would push those close to suicide over the edge. Suicide might be a more hot-blooded reaction to events, which isn't triggered by the blah nothingness of this pandemic. Or it might be the result of a slow burn and won't appear until this year's data. I'd be interested in other speculation on how my model or the measurement might be wrong.

DanBC 5y ago
You might be interested in the comments of one of the authors of the research that's being referred to: https://twitter.com/ProfLAppleby/status/1382257477111140358?s=20 https://twitter.com/ProfLAppleby/status/1382257477111140358?... Some cautions re our new paper on suicide post-Covid •England data not included, to be reported soon •mainly rich countries, impact may be greater in poorer parts of world •early figs, we are still in mid-pandemic •no analysis by age, race or region https://twitter.com/ProfLAppleby/status/1382248431272480769?s=20 https://twitter.com/ProfLAppleby/status/1382248431272480769?... What is message from our new paper showing no rise in suicide in pandemic? •early figures, risks remain, #suicideprevention still a priority •main risk is economic downturn - protecting income, jobs, housing vital •MH care & community supports needed for those most at risk