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Using a simple t-test calculation and assuming normal distribution and an equal split in both groups, the sample size per group needs to be 20 million to be in
by ascar 6y ago
Using a simple t-test calculation and assuming normal distribution and an equal split in both groups, the sample size per group needs to be 20 million to be in the 90% confidence interval. It's not even yet in the 95% interval at that point. You reach the "scientific default" 95% confidence at 40million per group (that's 80million total).
At a sample size of 20million that's 182.800 cases in the non-alcoholic group and 183.600 in the alcoholic once a day group. At that scale I wouldn't trust my data enough to believe the reporting of once-a-day and not-at-all is actually accurate and other completly unrelated unaccounted effects do not outweigh my testesd criteria.
If I haven't done any major errors calculating this (which might be, because it's back of the napkin math with a t-test calculator or my assumptions are wrong), I doubt the sample size and accuracy of the measure is high enough to make a statistical significant claim about these groups.
Even if it actually is a somewhat accurate result, it means having one drink per day increases health issues by as little as 0.5%. The risk of addicition and starting to drink much more probably heavily outweighs that.
Regarding OPs statement, I think it's fair to assume what is usually meant is "that has to be statistically insignificant for any sample size this sutdy probably had".