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You need to look at the whole system. The end result (of autopilot + human) is no accident. If the human prevents 99% of autopilot could-have-been accidents, a
by tgsovlerkhgsel 6y ago
You need to look at the whole system. The end result (of autopilot + human) is no accident.
If the human prevents 99% of autopilot could-have-been accidents, and as a result, 10 people die per X miles driven whereas through purely human driving 20 people die, then driving with autopilot is safer.
Unless you're trying to answer "is autopilot ready for L5", this is the right metric to look at.
- FartyMcFarter 6y ago> If the human prevents 99% of autopilot could-have-been accidents, and as a result, 10 people die per X miles driven whereas through purely human driving 20 people die, then driving with autopilot is safer. No, because correlation isn't causation. In particular, it's plausible that autopilot only gets used in situations where it's easy to drive and accidents are less likely. This would erase any hope of assessing autopilot safety by looking at simple statistics like the ones you mention.