If they said P(heads) is 60% and you get 4 tails in a row, you also might think the people running the experiment lied to you, especially if it happens near the

If they said P(heads) is 60% and you get 4 tails in a row, you also might think the people running the experiment lied to you, especially if it happens near the beginning. But there’s a 13% chance in any sequence of four tosses.