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> putting into administration any firm borrowing in foreign currency but earning in lira, and then refinancing them with lira loans. This isn't really an optio

• neilwilson 6y ago
  > No lender is going to exchange foreign denominated loans for Lira denominated loans during a currency crisis. They won't get that chance. When the firm is put into administration those foreign loans will be written off, which pushes the loss home to where it belongs - people lending in dollars to entities that have unhedged income in lira. The state/local investors then buy the firm out of administration with lira loans.
  • koheripbal 6y ago
    Ok, but then you are advocating that they default on their loans and destroy their credit rating. ...which eliminates their ability to borrow money for several years. And that can have severe impacts on the trade that exists today as creditors scramble to seize Turkish assets held in foreign banks/ports/contracts. It's a much much more destructive move than what you're describing.
    • neilwilson 6y ago
      "which eliminates their ability to borrow money for several years" Not really. It's a refinancing of the firm in a new structure. That happens all the time - with huge amounts of borrowed money. Getting rid of deadweight loans and refinancing elsewhere is what administration is for, and what happens regularly. In fact freeing up collateral and sending losses abroad makes a firm more creditworthy, not less.