Regarding AZ, the paper refers to EMA data from three weeks ago[1], which under normal circumstances would be very recent, but in this case I guess it's rather

Regarding AZ, the paper refers to EMA data from three weeks ago[1], which under normal circumstances would be very recent, but in this case I guess it's rather old. I looked up official numbers[2] from Germany from yesterday: about 4 million AZ first dose vaccinations, 55 reported cases of CVST, 11 fatal (6 women, 5 men). Since the CVST occur within a week or two after vaccination, you'd expect a few more cases causally related to the 4m vaccinations, so around 15 cases per million vaccinations and around 3 deaths. That's higher than the number they cite, but still much lower than the number they arrive at for Covid. [1] https://www.ema.europa.eu/en/news/astrazenecas-covid-19-vaccine-ema-finds-possible-link-very-rare-cases-unusual-blood-clots-low-blood https://www.ema.europa.eu/en/news/astrazenecas-covid-19-vacc... [2] https://www.pei.de/DE/service/presse/aktuelles/aktuelles-inhalt.html https://www.pei.de/DE/service/presse/aktuelles/aktuelles-inh... PEI is the German EMA equivalent, basically