14 ms·
> COVID fatality rate 0.2% In the United States, as of the time of this posting, 564,000 people have died to COVID, and we've had 31,400,000 cases, which puts
by nwallin 6y ago
> COVID fatality rate 0.2%
In the United States, as of the time of this posting, 564,000 people have died to COVID, and we've had 31,400,000 cases, which puts the case fatality rate at 1.8%.
- pif 6y agoSTOP USING NUMBERS !!! Feelings is all that matters. Make America Gawful Again, and all that.
- visarga 6y agoMathematics has usually favored the educated and rich, so it is a racist science. 1+1=3 if you agree with me! /s
- _cs2017_ 6y agoYes, case fatality rate is 1.8% but infection fatality rate is quite a bit below 0.5% (the exact number is unknown since no one in the US is doing random testing properly). Bubonic plague infection fatality rate was 50-70%, so over 100x larger.
- Pyramus 6y agoHere is a good estimation based on seroprevalence data from different countries [1] > Taking France as a reference population, the ensemble model estimates a population IFR of 0.79% (95% credible interval, 0.68–0.92%). Crucially, IFR correlates with the capacity to treat the infection. [1] https://www.nature.com/articles/s41586-020-2918-0/figures/2 https://www.nature.com/articles/s41586-020-2918-0/figures/2
- _cs2017_ 6y agoExcept that seroprevalence itself likely underestimates total infections: https://www.bmj.com/content/370/bmj.m3364 https://www.bmj.com/content/370/bmj.m3364. Also, it's quite suspicious that Japan has the highest IFR in the world, with the gap over the average much larger than can be explained by population age. Especially strange since Japan has some of the best medical systems in the world, and has not (yet) exceeded the capacity of its hospital system.
- exporectomy 6y agoDeaths per population, not per infected case is about 0.2% in the US. The black death killed about 50% of Europe's population.
- umanwizard 6y agoCFR is a useless and misleading metric.