3 ms·
You can always quibble with the exact percentage (and the article I posted discusses some of the objections), but there is considerable evidence that there must
by microtherion 6y ago
You can always quibble with the exact percentage (and the article I posted discusses some of the objections), but there is considerable evidence that there must have been a fairly high infection rate — given the minimal measures taken, there hardly is another explanation for why the first wave petered out and case numbers stayed low for several months. Excess deaths in the first wave were .15% of the population of the city, which is relatively young, which also points to a high infection rate.
And all of that didn't help one bit in the second wave.
A year ago, many people took seriously Swedish claims that Stockholm was close to herd immunity. Now Manaus is never supposed to have reached herd immunity levels. It seems to be a bit of a "No True Scotsman" type of situation.