From the CDC: In 2019, a total of 2,854,838 resident deaths were registered in the United States—15,633 more deaths than in 2018. In 2020, approximately 3,358,

From the CDC: In 2019, a total of 2,854,838 resident deaths were registered in the United States—15,633 more deaths than in 2018. In 2020, approximately 3,358,814 deaths occurred in the United States (Table). The age-adjusted rate was 828.7 deaths per 100,000 population, an increase of 15.9% from 715.2 in 2019. Assuming the rates stayed the same or roughly so from year to year, it appears that not many of them would have died sans COVID19. Certainly well over 5000. If there is a trend, none of the data I looked at on the CDC site supported this, raw deaths have been rising in the last 5 years but death's per 100,000 have held. So if it's a small increase per 100,000 is "normal" given those trends 16% is still well outside the normal, so it's likely something like 300,000 or there about. I sure someone here could do the math to verify that but I don't feel like it. :) ref: https://www.cdc.gov/nchs/products/databriefs/db395.htm https://www.cdc.gov/nchs/products/databriefs/db395.htm https://www.cdc.gov/mmwr/volumes/70/wr/mm7014e1.htm https://www.cdc.gov/mmwr/volumes/70/wr/mm7014e1.htm