> 10^-9 odds of a startup making 10 billion Intuitively those numbers feel wrong. theres 7bn people on this planet - and only a very tiny proportion might beco

> 10^-9 odds of a startup making 10 billion Intuitively those numbers feel wrong. theres 7bn people on this planet - and only a very tiny proportion might become tech entrepreneurs. So I think your "1 in a billion" chance of being successful is a bit high. Also, who said $10bn was successful? It is just 1 outcome of many...