4 ms·

No startup predictor can take in consideration how well team members execute their ideas. Sure, it could take in account information about past startup founder

by markbao 18y ago

No startup predictor can take in consideration how well team members execute their ideas. Sure, it could take in account information about past startup founders, but what if you asked it about Larry and Sergey in 1998? No past information. How are you going to predict how well they executed Google?

rw 18y ago
Use the same technique as in statistics: call it the error term.
kirill 18y ago
Even though Google is an anomaly (black swan:), as you can see in the Techcrunch article, YouNoodle would've still predicted an $80M+ valuation for Google, in part because of the high quality team and advisors they managed to assemble from the start, including Ram Shriram and Andy Bechtolsheim.
- markbao 18y ago
  True, true. Quite a smart system, though. Kudos to the YouNoodle team. (The name's awful, though. If the founders are here, don't be offended, it's nothing personal, but consider another name?)
  - noodle 18y ago
    great name, imo
deleted 18y ago
[deleted]