5 ms·
Another helpful angle is to consider things that aren't Lindylike. People for example -- we expect older people to die sooner than younger ones, not later. And
by repsilat 6y ago
Another helpful angle is to consider things that aren't Lindylike. People for example -- we expect older people to die sooner than younger ones, not later. And radioactive nuclei -- we expect their ages to be irrelevant to their expected future longevity.
- chubot 6y agoYeah there are definitely some subtleties, and they would be interesting to tease out. Older people obviously will die sooner, but having survived does give you some information. For example, your life expectancy at age 1 is 75 years, but at age 40 it's closer to 79 years. e.g. https://www.annuityadvantage.com/resources/life-expectancy-tables/ https://www.annuityadvantage.com/resources/life-expectancy-t...
- dmingod666 6y agoNot if you are looking at motorcycle accidents data of older and younger people.
- nvoid 6y agoIsn't this handled by the fact Lindy-like things have to be non-perishable like ideas or technology?