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Most of these assumptions seem crazy to me and this just feels like blog spam more than truth.
by theklub 6y ago
Most of these assumptions seem crazy to me and this just feels like blog spam more than truth.
- gumby 6y agoCrazy? A lot of them came true.
- drloser 6y agoLess than 50%. His predictions would have been more accurate if he had flipped a coin.
- hellisothers 6y agoNot sure why this is getting downvoted, he got like 2 out of 15 “right” considering he changed the definition of #2 so he could mark it “right”.
- jayd16 6y agoBecause the parent implied fair odds when that's not the case.
- aqme28 6y agoThat's not how predictions work though. He didn't come up with them by flipping coins.
- Aengeuad 6y agoIt's easy to predict things correctly when you control what your son will use, e.g., 'my son won't use a landline', well yes, you cancelled your home landline before your son was born. The original prediction was that most people and most businesses would stop using landlines but he concedes his son might still use a landline in an office some day and yet still considers the original prediction to be correct. The same is true for phone numbers, dedicated cameras, mechanical harddrives, arguably prime time tv but I can't really blame him here. Theatres are considered TBD but it took a pandemic that also shut near everything else down for much of the world, many businesses are in for a rough shake up. The crazier predictions are ones that didn't come to fruition line no more floating window managers or mice and people no longer building desktop pcs, or ones the author still thinks are going to happen like no more wired internet connections.
- sellyme 6y ago> The original prediction was that most people and most businesses would stop using landlines but he concedes his son might still use a landline in an office some day and yet still considers the original prediction to be correct. For what it's worth I'm 15 years older than his son, and haven't used a landline in over a decade. I'm typing this from my office desk that has a landline phone on it, that as far as I'm aware has never rung. It's not an unreasonable conclusion to mark that prediction as correct. EDIT: actually upon closer inspection it appears that the phone on my desk might be VoIP, so I've not only not used a landline phone in a decade, I haven't even seen one.
- vishnugupta 6y ago> For what it's worth I'm 15 years older than his son, and haven't used a landline in over a decade In a similar boat. Last time I used a landline was about 20 years ago. In fact, in India the landline has all but vanished.
- asdff 6y agoI actually do have a landline. My internet company told me my bill would go up by $10 a month if I dropped the landline service from my internet+landline combo. Welcome to the free market where I have this or DSL. I don't have a phone hooked up to it, nor do I even know the number.
- totalZero 6y agoAmong the ones he claims as having come true, a couple of them didn't. Physical media like HDD has greater permanence than SSD, so it isn't going away yet. But his son also used it in gaming consoles, which (it may come as a surprise) are computers. Also, you can't use whatsapp without a phone number. Several apps and services require a phone number for sign up or 2FA. So that one is bogus too.
- allenu 6y agoI agree. It's quite clever, though. You have the benefit of two "engaging" articles: one for the initial predictions and one for the results years later.