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I found this way of thinking - where you pool risks across the entire population - never particularly useful. For example, the risk of drowning, here quantifie
by fab1an 6y ago
I found this way of thinking - where you pool risks across the entire population - never particularly useful.
For example, the risk of drowning, here quantified as "1 in 1,128" is actually pretty much 0 for people who don't go swimming, and probably vastly higher for people who frequently swim in lakes.
Similarly, your risk of getting eaten by a shark - as miniscule it may be in the grand scheme of things - is profoundly higher when you're actually in the water somewhere in South Africa or Australia.
So in order to truly understand risks, one really needs to take one's personal setup and situation into account..
- cortesoft 6y agoYeah, these are the odds if you have no other information about the person. They vary drastically between different people.
- Galaxity 6y agoWell I guess it's presented poorly by saying "your" odds. Those numbers are for everyone as a whole, the likelyhood of any person dying amongst everyone else by a specific cause. Not a specific individual's odds.
- noahatwi 6y agoIsn't there some use to knowing which of these statistically likely deaths may be applicable to you?