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>You spend an awful lot of time attacking me and not very much time attacking my arguments. That's not very scientific of you. I said I had no way to know you w
by COGlory 6y ago
>You spend an awful lot of time attacking me and not very much time attacking my arguments. That's not very scientific of you. I said I had no way to know you were actually a virologist, which I didn't. It isn't really important to the discussion though, as I said. Can we talk about this like adults? Thanks.
Unfortunately that is impossible for two reasons:
1) Because you have inextricably tied your argument to who you are with lines like:
>All of that aside, the consensus among people who actually use or study dangerous viruses in biosafety labs (both those for and against gain of function research, btw) is that the virus likely came from a wild zoonotic crossover event.
2) Because you refused to present your argument here in a way that stands against my hypothesis, and instead relied on simply introduction of yourself and your credentials.
>Where did they get the virus? It's not anything like any coronavirus we know of before SARS-CoV-2 emerged in humans, it's 1200 away from RATG-13.
1200 mutations away from RATG-13 is how significant exactly? I will propose that it is not particularly significant. One virus I work with, I have 14 variants ranging from 300 to 500 base-pair differences. That is from passing in a laboratory only. I have one variant that has a 14000 BP deletion! (https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7217056/#mmi14435-sup-0001 https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7217056/#mmi144... TABLE S2) However, it is noteworthy for that reason. That said, these are dsDNA viruses with comparatively much slower mutation rates. 1200-base differences are almost nothing.
>Why would they test a random unrelated coronavirus' site?
That's a good question, and not one that I can answer suitably with this hypothesis. Perhaps because they were looking for a cleavable one?
>And why did they do it on the weirdly promiscuous SARS-2 ACE2 and not in a virus like RATG-13?
To me this is obvious. SARS-2 ACE2 is extremely promiscuous. That's a very good reason to study it - it has broad potential for cross-species jumps. If you are trying to narrow down what it is that causes the jump, you want to study on the virus that is most capable of making that jump.
>Re: cleavage site, I go into extreme detail about how possible it is for cleavage sites to evolve in nature here and here:
Again, I don't think that applies my hypothesis. Of course it had to evolve in nature. Otherwise there would be no furin site. The ability of a furin site to evolve in nature has almost no bearing on whether or not one could be inserted into coronavirus by humans, unless I'm totally misunderstanding what you're suggesting here.
>Also, the cleavage site isn't even that long.
Sure, and again, this furin site likely did evolve in nature (at least in amino acid form). Whether or not it evolved in coronavirus is the topic here.
>Nothing about the furin cleavage site makes it more likely to be unnatural than it is natural?
The two non-canonical arginines don't make it less likely?
>And so far, I don't see any compelling reason to believe that anyone would take a completely undiscovered and undescribed virus out of nature, not describe it or publish on it at all, and then start inserting random furin sites into it from random other coronaviruses.
I have some of viruses I work with I haven't published on yet, because I am either waiting to complete work, or they aren't significant enough compared to their peers for me to publish on them.
>Why would they be doing that? Is it technically /possible/? Yes, but I see no reason why it is more likely than a natural emergence.
OK so that's the crux of my argument. There's some interesting anomalies that point to it being a possibility. There's no way to rule it out. At the end of the day, it comes down to one opinion vs another, which is why statements like:
>The virus itself, to the eye of any virologist, is clearly not engineered.
...are so infuriating to me.
- jeduehr 6y agoOkay, let me know when you wanna talk about it like adults! I'll be around when you do. Until then, I'm not really interested in being ad hominem attacked and so I'm gonna step back and study for my med school exams instead. It's important to have conversational ground rules and one of those for me is decency and no ad hominems. As a last thought: You seem to kind of disregard the consensus that exists among virologists (even as pointed out in the very article we're discussing under, the OP). All those statements I made are consistent with the consensus. And on a small scale, I had that post reviewed by 8ish working PhD virologists before I posted it as part of the editorial process. I say 8ish because some of them have PhDs in non-virology stuff but now work exclusively on virology. It's not a true peer review since I know them and it wasn't blinded. But I want to be clear it's not like I just wrote it out of nowhere. Many of those same virologists helped me field comments on the original post! It was a great time we all got together on zoom to do it. Anyway, let me know when you wanna discuss the science and not ad hominems. Thanks
- deleted 6y ago[deleted]
- COGlory 6y ago>And on a small scale, I had that post reviewed by 8-10 working PhD virologists before I posted it as part of the editorial process. Not a true peer review since I know them and it wasn't blinded. But I want to be clear it's not like I just wrote it out of nowhere. Again with the appeal to authority. Argue the merits of the argument. Not who is making it (which is almost all you've done). Except in this case, the merits of the argument were pretty weak and superficial, and only applied to people who weren't expert enough to realize that no one is suggesting CRISPR-Cas9 was used to make 1200 edits to a virus lmao. There's no talking your way out of that one. Anyone who knows anything about molecular biology or virology knows clearly that that was a total strawman rebuttal. I won't suggest motive, just that it was not ever a good faith argument. >Okay, let me know when you wanna talk about it like adults! If you point out where I'm not in that reply, I'll happily edit it to be less offensive. *Still waiting for you to refute my hypothesis with an actual argument, by the way.*