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I don’t think human science is remotely advanced enough to make one million year predictions, let alone 150 billion. We still have the giant dark matter fudge f
by twhb 6y ago
I don’t think human science is remotely advanced enough to make one million year predictions, let alone 150 billion. We still have the giant dark matter fudge factor that eludes experimental verification, we’re still inventing new particles to make quantum math work, we still can’t come up with any theory that explains all our observations.
Extreme predictions require extreme precision of data and model, and it seems that our models have already hit their limits on much more pedestrian problems. Like Newton’s physics, they are a function that fits reality well only within a certain range of values.
This is not an anti-science sentiment, by the way, just maintaining scope and margins of error.
- cletus 6y agoWe're talking about the expansion of the Universe here. This expansion has 14 billion years of evidence in the observable Universe to support it. Experimental evidence has shown this expansion is increasing not decreasing. This isn't to say that the expansion won't slow, stop or even reverse but that claim requires a testable theory. The Universe is expanding based on all our understanding and all the experimental evidence we have to date is not an equivalent position to "well, we really don't know what will happen in a billion years".
- twhb 6y agoEvidence doesn’t show anything, it supports things. Theories are replaced all the time by new theories that are supported by all the same evidence, and even more. Since this has been happening to theories on the fate of the universe on average once per generation for the past 100 years, and each successive theory has also had experimental support and scientific consensus, I’d say evidence supports a prediction of at least one more change, wouldn’t you? Amid other information, this page lists major changes to cosmological theory: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Timeline_of_cosmological_theories https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Timeline_of_cosmological_theor...