> These events are white swans These are more "Black Elephants" imho: A Black Elephant, notes Vinay Gupta, ‘is an event which is extremely likely and widely p

> These events are white swans These are more "Black Elephants" imho: A Black Elephant, notes Vinay Gupta, ‘is an event which is extremely likely and widely predicted by experts, but people attempt to pass it off as a Black Swan when it finally happens. Usually the experts who had predicted the event – from the economic crisis to pandemic flu—go from being marginalized to being lionized when the problem finally rears its head’ (Gupta, 2009). https://postnormaltim.es/black-elephant https://postnormaltim.es/black-elephant