3 ms·
Most people didn't get Lasik when there still was a risk of permanent damage like blindness or halos. A lot more did when the technology became proven. As someo
by etripe 6y ago
Most people didn't get Lasik when there still was a risk of permanent damage like blindness or halos. A lot more did when the technology became proven. As someone who underwent the procedure, it also felt like liberating surgery.
Applying similar patterns to Neuralink, the likelihood that a lot of people will jump at the opportunity initially is small. After that, it all depends on how exactly it improves lives (maybe even becomes necessary in some fields?) and how long they can absorb losses until the process is battle-tested enough.
As opposed to Lasik, Neuralink presents much greater risks through surgery and being an implant in the first place. My guess is the value proposition would need to be overwhelming for a lot of people to consider it and fairly strong for enough people to consider it to guarantee profitability.
- dumbfoundded 6y agoActually it peaked in 2000, one year after the FDA approved it in 1999 when 1.4M Americans got it. Now around 700K people get it yearly (1). ~10M people total have gotten Lasik. Around ~165M Americans currently have glasses. About 75% of adults need corrective vision of some sort. I wouldn't call this widespread adoption. Maybe it's cost, maybe it's the risk of the surgery. (1) https://www.webmd.com/eye-health/news/20180727/lasik-know-the-rewards-and-the-risks https://www.webmd.com/eye-health/news/20180727/lasik-know-th...